Second Thots

Sometimes one has to step back, take pause, and have some "second thots"

Wednesday, September 20, 2006


Poll creates buzz in Liberal leadership race

This poll about the Liberal leadership race published in today's Globe and Mail is already stirring the pot within party circles. It suggests that Michael Ignatieff is a bit of a sitting duck at the head of the pack and doesn't have enough support to withstand challenges at the convention in December. It also suggests Bob Rae's strategy of organizational strength and money might position him well to become the symbol of any Stop Iggy movement. Dion is the other guy who might become this symbol. He also has less negatives than the other two. I don't know if his candidacy has the legs and organization to position him as a barrier to Ignatieff's capturing of the Liberal crown, but stay tuned.

I will say, however, that I tend to be skeptical of such polls. This one is making news. My observation has been that polls that make a lot of news tend to possess as much lasting power as the buzz they generate. They're sensationalistic and often refuted by other polls, conflicting data, or facts on the ground. Again, stay tuned.

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